The 2026 Cyber Threat Outlook for UK Manufacturing

UK manufacturers are entering a period where cyber resilience is inseparable from operational performance. Over the next 12 months, success won’t be defined by avoiding every incident, but by how quickly and confidently organisations detect, contain, and recover when disruptions occur. Building resilience now through tested backups, supplier assurance, clear incident playbooks, and visible board engagement will separate those who thrive from those who falter under pressure.

What’s changing

AI Amplification: attackers now use AI to automate reconnaissance and craft convincing phishing campaigns. Expect faster, more targeted intrusions, especially through suppliers and contractors.

Quantum Computing: quantum isn’t breaking encryption yet, but the clock is ticking. Manufacturers should begin cataloguing where cryptography protects critical data and plan for post-quantum migration.

Hyper-Connectivity: the growth of IoT and OT-IT convergence widens the attack surface. Remote access for maintenance and connected suppliers increases lateral-movement risk.

Geopolitics: global tension is driving more state-linked and ideologically motivated attacks on industrial targets. Supply chains are both a risk vector and a resilience opportunity.

Climate Disruption: extreme weather can combine with cyber incidents, stressing physical sites, power, and data recovery.

Bio-Digital Risk: emerging mainly for life sciences and precision manufacturing, regulators are tightening compliance around data and IP protection.

Expected impacts in 2026

• More ransomware-driven factory downtime
• Increased supplier-linked compromises
• Rising insurance costs and stricter controls
• Regulatory scrutiny under the new UK Cyber Governance Code
• Greater board accountability for operational resilience

12-month priority actions

Be incident-ready – update and test joint OT/IT response plans.

Secure the supply chain – assess top suppliers for cyber posture and backup arrangements.

Segment and protect – strengthen network boundaries and restrict remote access.

Close the basics – enforce MFA, remove legacy logins and train staff against phishing.

Verify backups – maintain immutable, offline copies of critical system data.

Plan for quantum – start your cryptographic inventory now.

Control AI use – govern employee and vendor use of AI tools to prevent data leakage.

Report upwards – deliver cyber KPIs to the board and align with the new governance code.

10 key metrics for 2026

1. Downtime hours due to cyber incidents: direct measure of operational impact and revenue risk.
2. Mean Time to Detect (MTTD) / Mean Time to Respond (MTTR): speed of detecting and mitigating attacks – critical for resilience.
3. % of production systems with verified offline backups: ensures the ability to restore SCADA/PLC, ERP, and critical data after an incident.
4. % of Tier 1 suppliers assessed for cyber risk: visibility into key supply chain dependencies and potential disruption points.
5. % of suppliers meeting minimum security controls (MFA, patching, backups): Ensures supplier resilience and reduces attack surface.
6. Phishing simulation success rate (% of users who click / report): tracks human vulnerability, the top vector for AI-amplified attacks.
7. % of systems protected by MFA: measures credential security coverage. Essential against automated attacks.
8. Number of OT/IT incident response exercises completed: shows operational readiness for combined cyber-physical events.
9. Residual cyber risk trend (High/Medium/Low): aggregated board-level risk indicator; supports governance and insurance alignment.
10. Backup restore success rate (%): confirms the effectiveness of business continuity and disaster recovery processes.